Simulation Model Based Response Management Related to Railway (Earthquake) Disaster

Sergey Kinzhikeyev; József Rohács; Dániel Rohács; Anita Boros

doi:10.3311/PPci.17578

Authors

Sergey Kinzhikeyev

Affiliation

Department of Aeronautics, Naval Architecture and Railway Vehicles, Faculty of Transport Engineering and Vehicle Engineering, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Műegyetem rkp. 3, 1111 Budapest, Hungary
József Rohács

Affiliation

Department of Aeronautics, Naval Architecture and Railway Vehicles, Faculty of Transport Engineering and Vehicle Engineering, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Műegyetem rkp. 3, 1111 Budapest, Hungary
Dániel Rohács

Affiliation

Department of Aeronautics, Naval Architecture and Railway Vehicles, Faculty of Transport Engineering and Vehicle Engineering, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Műegyetem rkp. 3, 1111 Budapest, Hungary
Anita Boros

Affiliation

Széchenyi István University, Globalization Competence Center, Egyetem tér 1, 9026 Győr, Hungary Lajos Lőrinc Institute of Administrative Law, Faculty of Science of Public Governance and Administration, National University of Public Service, Ludovika tér 2, 1083 Budapest, Hungary

Abstract

Railway system as part of the general transportation system is a strategic element that supports the economy and the society. Its role is continuously rising with rapid industrialization, urbanization, and changes in the society expectations regarding sustainable systems. New and emerging technologies call and permit the augmentation of the railway systems’ disaster management. This paper deals with the development of an improved response management concept related to railways’ damage, caused by earthquakes. The paper synthetizes the latest technologies, engineering, and management methods in one improved response management system. After the concept inspiration, the paper describes the applicable novel models and introduces an improved response management being developed for railway systems, damaged by earthquakes. The concept is verified in simulation. The novelty includes a new approach in the identification of the critical infrastructure, the risk assessment, the prediction of aftershocks and the recursive application of the adaptive Markov process to the simulation supporting the response management concept.