Description of the gas and service water consumption process by means of probability calculation

Abstract

The characteristics of random gas and service water consumption of individual consumer groups (quantity, intensity, simultaneity, etc.) are probability variables in the mathematical sense. In scheduling gas and service water consumption, the chances of the realisation of the characteristics and the probability distribution also have to be determined. The authors relate the determination of scheduled values to the extent of assumption of risk. In the study they present new methods based on the theory of stochastic processes for describing the gas consumption of individual consumer groups and for determining the probability distribution of consumption values. They also show correlations to describe gas and service water consumption as the basis of the total heat load of gas appliances and cold or hot water fixtures.